I've recently been discussing how the two way volatile swings in this market are what are most worrisome, and again we see that on full display today. The market just gave back 150 S&P points by noon after accelerating higher by more than 3% yesterday following the Fed announcement and press conference. Everything is taking a beating. Amazon is down more than 7% right now. We're not just talking about growth stocks that don't make money. This whole market is getting punished, and unfortunately we may have some ways to go before buyers regain the control in this market for the longer term.

Yesterday was just the beginning of 50 basis point hikes in my opinion. It'll be 50 basis points for at least the 2 meetings, unless this market really falls apart and gives the Fed a reason to hesitate.

Part of the reason for our ABNB bearish trade this week was that there were many different events that could provide volatility to the downside, with earnings just being the first. ABNB is down almost 9% today at $142.94. We are going to hold out ABNB put spread through tomorrow morning's jobs number.

On a more general note, if you are considering lightening up any of your positions I would say it is not too late to preserve some capital here, especially when it comes to longer term retirement investing. The S&P is still sitting at 4,166. We started 2019 off at about 2,500 in the S&P. We started 2020 off at about 3,200 in the S&P. And we started off 2021 at about 3,750. In that context, this market is still near the top and there is a very real chance the next 6-12 months are a tough one as we battle inflation and a Fed that is on a hiking path that many have not seen in our lifetimes.

Stay vigilant and don't be afraid of missing out on the next pop in these markets, as we see how quickly even the largest relief rally can fade. I will have an update out sometime later today or tomorrow depending on how we trade.