The Tiger Forex Report – Week of 03/02 – 03/06/2026

The DXY is in a “State Of Confusion” and the prognosis is it is going to last. Get ready for some range trade conditions. Range trade to lower for the DXY is the call…unless there is flight to quality in the Interest Rate quadrant. It has not Really happened for over a decade, but times they are a changing.

Crude Oil Bulls are relentless as they try and press through harsh resistance. With Yields on, edge it may be hard to tip the scale on this Bull. However, we are near the top of the range most likely. Get ready for the big break.

30yr T-Bond traders may be in for some swings. For the first time in over a decade the Middle East turmoil may have some pressure on bond pricing. (Higher Yields) Strange things are amiss at the Circle K. It is like it is the early 2000’s again.

EURUSD Weekly Outlook:

What a tight trade in the EURUSD. Guess what? There will be much more of the same to come as we get closer to the March FED meeting. Odds are good that this market will remain in a Buy Break posture. Bulls are on the side that has the best chance of getting momentum in motion. A rally up through resistance is on the agenda, but it may be a creeper. Selling into strength is ill advised for the week ahead. As we creep through the last month of the 1st Quarter it is expected that the Bulls press the trend with a rally toward the upside breakout level. Only a failure from the downside breakout level would reverse the positive bias for a fresh leg lower that could reach the downside target level fast.

GBPUSD Weekly Outlook:

Bearish pressure in the GBPUSD is having trouble with making new move lows. The downside support band seems to be holding the market at bay. An early test of this area is likely this week. If this is just a corrective leg lower this area should be the floor. All trading below this area would be a negative indication that the downtrend is gaining steam, and the downside target level would then become a viable trend target. If the Bulls can get a sustained rally above Friday’s high, then the negative forecast could be put on hold as the market tries to regain the original uptrend. We are approaching a FED meeting so there could be a fight in the upside resistance band area. Be mindful of range trade conditions developing.

USDCHF Weekly Outlook:

Let us see if the downside support band is going to hold up this week. Remember the trend is a Bear in the USDCHF and trading below this area would indicate that downside momentum is going to build as the Bears make a run at the downside target level. This trend is in full gear and remains in a sell rally forecast. If the Bulls can get a sustained trade above the last swing high, then there could be a spike high into the upside resistance band. Not much more is expected to the upside before the FED meeting, so keep your expectations rational if you are going to try and fade the current trend. It would be advisable to wait for a rally to sell then to try and ride a rally in the week ahead.

USDJPY Weekly Outlook:

A slow rally is in place in the USDJPY, and another push through resistance is the call. Expect a rally to the upside target level early in the week. Watch to see if there is a close above the upside target level. If this occurs there is every reason in the world to believe that the Bulls are on a mission to challenge new monthly highs all the way towards the 162.50 area. If the Bears put a stop to the rally do not expect much action. It is likely that the digestive zone will keep this FX pair afloat as we head into FED time this month. Only a close below this area would change the outlook to Bearish as the market tries to get a serious trend move South in motion.

AUDUSD Weekly Outlook:

Can AUDUSD Bulls catch a ride to newer move highs this week? A test of the upside target level is on the menu. If there is a close above here it would be a good sign that the Bulls are looking to press newer move highs up to the 0.7270 level. A correction is over do, and a close below the last swing low should spark a fresh slide. Remember that momentum is strong to the upside, and a lower trading market should be viewed as a corrective move. It may be advisable to wait for a pull back to buy into than to try and ride it to the downside. The rationale behind this is to avoid a spike low liquidity trap and get caught selling the market in the hole. You have been warned. Only a close below the downside support band would confirm any true trend shift in this currency.

NZDUSD Weekly Outlook:

This market is riding key support. An early test of the lows is likely this week, and a spike toward the downside target level is very likely. A bounce in this area is expected as the Bulls regain the trend an make a run for newer move monthly highs. The downside target level should be the extreme for any hard sell off in the short-term future. Watch out for a rally above the last swing high. A breach of this level is expected to trigger buy stops and fuel a surge toward the upside resistance band. If this occurs there is every reason to believe that the NZDUSD could hit new monthly highs before the 1st Quarter is finished.

USDCAD Weekly Outlook:

Get ready for some choppy trading in the USDCAD in the week ahead. Sorry for the grim forecast. Weakness in the short-term puts the downside support band in the market’s sights. That should put the breaks on a lower trading market. Be careful trying to sell into the lows here. There is not much follow through likely here. As far as the Bulls are concerned, the upside resistance band should keep this market at bay. The upside target level should be the extreme for any sign of strength. If there is a close above this area there will be an update to evaluate if the trend is changing or just correcting.