The Tiger Forex Report – Week of 08/10 – 08/14/2026

The DXY is digesting the recent leg lower, and more sideways trading is very likely this week. Key off last weeks low for directional bias this week. Above here the Index remains in a neutral to higher posture.

Crude Oil Bears have a solid hold on this market and a sell rally posture should remain for the next couple of weeks.

30yr T-Bond Yields remain firm, yet there are signs of a possible Bullish surge brewing to lower Yields a bit. Even if there is another break through support there is not much price action expectations to the downside. However, if the Bulls catch a strong bid the Buy Stop surge alone could fuel a monster move.

EURUSD Weekly Outlook:

EURUSD Bulls are hovering in the upside resistance band. This is a key area for the market. If there is a sustained trade above here there is a good chance that new monthly highs could surge in a big way. The upside target level could easily get hit by months end if the USD takes another big blow of weakness. That is all that is likely for a higher blast any time soon due to economic woes in the EU. Should the Bears get two consecutive closes below the upside resistance band, then that would be a good indication that the trend is falling back on support, and extended weakness is likely to prevail for at least a few trading sessions. A test of the critical directional pivot level is likely to hold. However, if there is a failure from this area the Bears could make a statement fast and pound new move lows all the way to the downside support band before the end of August.

GBPUSD Weekly Outlook:

GBPUSD Bulls seem to be running out of gas and are having a tuff time reaching the upside resistance band. Another last ditch attempt at higher move highs is expected this week, but it is very likely to be a spike high. Watch the DXY. If the Index is under pressure, then there is a good chance that the Bulls may have enough of a chance to challenge the last major swing high. Just be sure to keep your expectations rational back at higher levels. There is a high probability that this FX pair will snap back to where it is now or lower. Sustained trading below the upside resitance band keeps the market in limbo as it digests global volaility. Ultimately this maket is smack dab in the middle of a wide multi month range trade. It is what it is so be aware of Market Conditions. Keep this in mind when trading anything above short-term trades. Follow through swings are rough right now. As far as the Bears go there is not much expected unles the DXY takes off like a rocket for higher move highs. A very strong surge in USD strength could trigger fresh selling pressure and drive this market back to the downside support band.

USDCHF Weekly Outlook:

Signals in the USDCHF are a mixed bag of goods this week. Get ready for a potential nonevent range trade in this market. The best advice is to wait for a solid signal. Trading above the downside support band keeps the market in a holding pattern set to go nowhere. If you are Short there is a good chance that the Bears will get another leg lower in motion and try and get below the downside support band. If there are two closes below here there will be an update. If the Bulls can get a rally above last week’s high that could cause weak shorts to buckle and fuel a short covering rally up toward the critical directional pivot level. Should the DXY be climbing fast this week it would be a good idea to watch out for a freight train rally in this currency. It would be unwise to try and fade a move like this. Even if it is short-lived, the upside potential is very strong. If there is a close above the critical directional pivot level, then the Bulls would be in a good position to lift this currency above the last major Daily swing high from a couple of weeks ago.

USDJPY Weekly Outlook:

More violent swings are the call for this FX pair for the week ahead. A sell rally outlook is the call, and expect some extreme swings. There should be some great trading opportunities but keep your expectations rational and mind your risk. Looking for rallies to Sell is a good stance to hold for the next few trading sessions. There is a good chance that the Bulls could challenge the upside resistance band this week, and if there is a Sell signal up in this area it could be a high probability setup. Be careful of a lower trading market this week. If the Bears get below Friday’s low there is a good chance that the selling pressure will build. Trading below here would be a strong sign that the market is going to try and test monthly lows soon. With central banks swinging monster money around the one thing that is very likely for the next few months is that this currency is going to remain in focus. That means there should be many possible trading opportunities to capitalize on.

AUDUSD Weekly Outlook:

A strong Bullish stance is how the AUDUSD is starting the week off. Another blast to newer move highs is on the agenda and may reach the heart of the upside resistance band. This area should provide a short-term ceiling for the market for a digestive period. As long as the DXY is in a sideways to lower bias this FX pair should be able to hold the trend in a Bullish posture. Medium and long-term indicators are showing signs of strength so there are small odds of a strong turn to support. In the event that the Bears can reverse direction it is very likely to be a grind lower. Not much is expected for weakness in this currency. Even if there is a strong slide this week the downside support band has a very strong probability of holding this FX pair from falling any further. The only exception that would really fuel the Bears in the AUDUSD would be if the USD just takes off like a rocket with relentless strength.

NZDUSD Weekly Outlook:

After a pause for the cause last week the NZDUSD Bulls should make a run for the extended upside resistance band. This is a strong area of resistance and it is expected that the market should fall off of this area. If there are two closes above here, then new move highs could be extreme. A scenario such as this is very unlikely since indicators are starting to show that Bullish strength is waning. Look out for a failure from last week’s low. Trading under here could trigger weak longs out of the market with Sell stops fueling a potential corrective leg lower. It is very likely that the Bears will not get below the downside support band since the trend is a still a Bull. In the event that this currency gets under this area there will be an update.

USDCAD Weekly Outlook:

Friday the Bears really sealed the week with a strong break into new move lows. An early test of the critical support range is expected this week. Most likely this area should hold and provide a nice spot for the market to base. Overall, this currency is in a long-term Bull trend, but it is currently in a short-term downside correction. Even with current USD weakness the trend is not likely to hold for long. CAD weakness outweighs any lack of USD strength. Be cautious of a strong bounce as we probe support this week. There is every reason to believe that a once the Bulls find solid footing there could be an irrationally exuberant rally. Like a balloon under water the Bulls have the potential to tag the critical directional pivot level in a heartbeat and probe the upside resistance band soon afterward. Do not underestimate USD strength versus the CAD. If the DXY starts a power move to the upside the USDCAD should reverse gears and launch through resistance. Keep this in mind if you are a hard-core Bear for this currency this week. Can you believe we are heading into the middle of August? No calm summer markets this year. Have a prosperous trading week.