The Tiger Forex Report – Week of 09/07 – 09/11/2026

Mixed signals in the DXY are making the Index a poor judge for USD strength. The forecast is leaning toward a Bullish bias this week. Remember we are coming off a holiday week. Expect volume and activity to get back to normal by Wednesday.

Crude Oil Bulls are running out of momentum, and a turn back to support is expected.

30yr T-Bond Bears continue to wrestle with support. More grinding is likely this week.

EURUSD Weekly Outlook:

Signals are mixed in the EURUSD, but in the short-term the Bulls have the advantage. Key off the swing low from Thursday. Trading above here keeps the market pointed higher looking for a spike into the TP1 area. If a higher move is going to run out of momentum, then odds are high that this is the area where it should unfold. A sustained trade above TP1 would be a strong indication that the market is building strength and a challenge of TP2 could happen before September is out. Things could get crazy with a FED meeting looming soon. If the Bears fall below Thursday’s low, then look out for scrambling Longs and aggressive Shorts as the market is likely to pound new move lows all the way toward the downside support band. This should be all that the Bears will be able to muster unless USD strength really gains fierce momentum. Do not be surprised if there is a range trade that unfolds before the FED meeting. Most likely the ECB will be very reactionary to whatever the FED does next. Be prepared for a wild last couple weeks of the month and 3rd Quarter. Big swings are visible in the crystal ball as we head into the 4th Quarter.

GBPUSD Weekly Outlook:

GBPUSD Bears may have set a short-term low in the market. Key of the last swing low for directional bias this week. Trading above here is a positive sign that the Bulls are going to try and challenge resistance. There is a Sell signal that was triggered Friday, but it is bucking the trend. If you are Bearish, it would be safer to wait for a confirmation of newer move lows before trying to get in front of a new leg lower. Odds are strong that there will be a strong push to try and regain the longer-term trend and make newer monthly highs before the 3rd Quarter is over. Should there be a slide below last week’s low, then look out below. TP1 is the first stop on a break that could reach TP2 within a week. That should be it for a strong Bearish selloff before a digestive phase develops. Watch the DXY. If USD strength is overwhelming, then this FX pair is likely to test the TP3 level before the month is out.

USDCHF Weekly Outlook:

USDCHF Bulls have a Buy signal and that is the focus for the beginning of the week. A rally to challenge last week’s swing high and continue rallying toward TP1 is expected. Do not discount a rally into this area. Upside momentum is expected to build as Buy stops should fuel enough pressure to tag TP2 by weeks end. If this unfolds this week it is very likely that the longer-term trend will remain positive for a few weeks. Sustained trading below last week’s swing high keeps the market in limbo. Keep a watch on the DXY. If the Index is in the gutter, the Bears could ignite a solid break. Lower trading under these conditions would likely keep falling until reaching the downside support band. Remember it is a holiday week, and there is a FED meeting right around the corner. Yields are not expected to be a good gauge for direction until after the FED meeting, and they are also not expected to move too much before either.

USDJPY Weekly Outlook:

USDJPY Bears are flirting with the downside breakout zone. This is the key area the BOJ would like this FX pair to be below. Momentum is under the Bears control heading into the beginning of the week. That makes TP1 a very likely objective to hit this week. Swings are expected and a sell rally forecast is the call. Should the market hold below TP1 it would be a strong indication that this currency is likely to remain weak and seek out newer move lows that target TP2. TP3 is the extended Sell target. If the market holds above the downside breakout zone, then the market will most likely settle into a short-term digestive phase. That would set the stage for range trading conditions as we get closer to the FED meeting. Here is some food for thought. Why would the FED raise Interest Rates two months after a coordinated effort with the BOJ to prop up the YEN vs. the USD??? We shall see. Any strong Bullish surprise should be contained by the upside resistance band.

AUDUSD Weekly Outlook:

AUDUSD Bulls are on a mission to press newer move highs this week and may be able to tag TP3. This is a big area pressing near monthly highs. It is not advisable to sell into this area until there is a solid signal. Trend dynamics, technical variables, and fundamentals are mixed, and we are nearing a FED meeting. Odds are high that a Spike High Liquidity Grab may be forming. The conditions are ripe. If you are working the Long side and this currency is back in this higher area it would be advisable to take some profits. Odds of a runaway rally before the FED meeting are low. Just be careful about fading the trend. Only a failure from last week’s low takes us off the strong Bullish forecast. In this case the Bears are likely to touch off Stops from weak Longs and spark a profit taking slide that targets the downside support band. This area is very likely to set a floor for a falling market and bounce the AUDUSD into a range trade to higher posture.

NZDUSD Weekly Outlook:

The Bears are shaking things up in the NZDUSD. There was a big bounce off the downside support band and TP1 was hit. Another dip into support is on the agenda for this FX pair. Odds are strong that the Bears can slam newer move lows not just to TP2, but through it. TP3 is a very viable trend objective as this currency begins a longer-term Bearish release. This market is in a solid sell rally forecast until further notice. Only a rally back into the upside resistance band would alter this outlook. Reality is the Bears are in control and if the DXY catches a strong rally, then this currency is expected to fall fast and hard. Of all of the major currency crosses this market has the likelihood of having some good swings as other markets tighten up in front of the FED meeting.

USDCAD Weekly Outlook:

USDCAD Bulls tried to hold the critical support zone. Odds are strong that the Bulls are going to spark a strong surge higher. A rally above last week’s swing high is on the agenda this week. If this rally breaches new move highs the upside resistance band is the objective. This area should cap the market since we are coming off a holiday market and heading into a FED meeting. Moving forward this currency is in a short-term buy break posture looking for higher move highs and higher move lows. Even if the Bears can take out the last swing low the downside support band should hold as a solid floor at least until after the FED meeting. Keep it tight this week folks. We are coming off a holiday market and crazy swigs are expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. After that, do not be surprised if certain pairs like the USDCAD start to run out of steam and settle into a choppy mess as the world awaits the FED decision on Interest Rates. Odds are strong that there will be no move, and then we can get back to normal chaos. Have a great trading week everyone. Make it a good one.