The Tiger Forex Report – Week of 10/5 – 10/09/2026

The DXY has blown through all of the original upside targets, and long-term trend dynamics are pointed higher still. Warsh is out to give the globalists a boost in front of the election. Another Interest Rate hike is coming in a few weeks. That spells higher inflation for the fourth quarter into the New Year and beyond.

Crude Oil Bears are salivating and ready to touch of newer move lows. Trend forecast is targeting $65 a barrel before 4th Quarter is through.

30yr T-Bond Yields are exploding, and the Bears are melting through support like a hot knife through butter. Odds are very high that the 30yr T-Bond will be below “Par Value” in the not-too-distant future. Look out below.

EURUSD Weekly Outlook:

The floor has dropped out and the Bears are on a mission to pile drive the EURUSD through support. All short-term downside targets have been achieved, but there are new longer-term objectives. Within the next few weeks, the odds are very high that this currency will be trading below the 1.1000 level. Yes, that is right. There is bound to be one more Rate Hike before the election, and even if the ECB raises rates, it should not impact this FX pair. Before Thanksgiving it is very reasonable to believe that this market could get as low as 1.0670 before there is a bounce. Newer move lows on all time frames are on the menu for many weeks to come. All rallies are viewed as corrective selling opportunities before the next wave lower.

GBPUSD Weekly Outlook:

Friday’s inside day was just a pause for the cause in this currency. The forecasted trend projection is very bleak for the GBPUSD. New multi month lows are expected in the weeks to come. 1.2856 level is a valid short-term trend objective for the Bears, and the potential to reach this area before the next FED meeting is very high. This market is in a Sell rally posture for the next few weeks. It would be a very risky play to try and fade a lower trading market this week. If there is a rally that breaches the last swing high t he Bulls could posibly get as high as the upside resistance band. Most likely this area will set a ceiling for any fresh leg higher. Only a close above this area would confirm short-term strength for an extended rally reaching for the 1.3455 level. Overall this curency is a long-term Bear. It is official that the UK GDP is less than the State of Mississippi. Yes, that is a fact shot round the globe recently. With another rate hike coming by the FED… that spells heavy pressure for the Pound.

USDCHF Weekly Outlook:

USDCHF traders tried to get a nice correction lower going last week, but there is a high probability that the Bearish move is over. Key off last week’s swing low. Only a failure from this level would confirm short-term weakness is still in control of the trend. Should this occur the downside support band is the extreme for a lower trending market. With USD strength where it is, there is very little chance of a push beyond this area. Be mindful of a breach of the last week’s swing high. Trading above here would be a strong indication that the Bulls are on a mission to press new move highs in a big way. There is every reason to believe that as long as momentum stays constant that this currency could tag the 0.8575 level by the next FED meeting. Big moves are expected for the rest of the 4th Quarter, with volatility remaining high too.

USDJPY Weekly Outlook:

The USDJPY held to a range trade last week, but this week there is likely to be a breakout to the upside. A rally above the last swing high is expected to generate fresh buying momentum. There is a very good chance that the Bulls could not just reach TP1, but hit TP2 before the week is out as well. As it stands now the trend forecast is neutral to higher. As long as the FED stays on the rate hike position it is very likely that this FX pair will breach multi month highs before the month is over. Warsh is set on working against the BOJ as it is self-evident because of recent actions and speeches. There is one scenario that could slow the Bulls down in this market. Should Crude Oil take a huge hit and get back below $70 a barrel, then there would be a very good chance that a strong Bearish leg lower may develop. This is the only situation that might merit a solid new forecast. Until then, the Bulls are in charge with a Buy break outlook for weeks to come. Here is a Halloween prediction for you…USDJPY gets closer to 165.00 than it does to the 150.00 level.

AUDUSD Weekly Outlook:

AUDUSD Bulls bounced off of the recent swing low, but can the low hold? Most likely not. In the short-term the market is expected to try and take out Friday’s high. If this occurs, then the Bulls might work on pressing through resistance for a short-term profit taking rally back to the upside resistance band. That is all that is likely for a higher trade in this market. Trend dynamics area pointing South in a big way. Be careful if the Bears get a slide under the last swing low. A failure from here would be a very negative indication that fresh selling pressure is going to build and slam new monthly lows hard. 0.6654 is the longer-term downside objective that the market is aiming for with the expectations of another Interest Rate hike growing. That and a failing Australian economy spells disaster for the AUD. Especially against the USD. Unless there is a big pullback in Yields this week there is no reason to believe that the Bulls can maintain any extended show of strength. Watch out for a potential liquidity spike high to pick the pockets of the weak Bulls this week.

NZDUSD Weekly Outlook:

This market is in a freefall with no sign of the ground in sight. There are zero signs of a bounce in this currency. Any turn will be viewed as a corrective move in the short-term. It is advisable to wait for a very solid Buy signal with plenty of confluence before entering any Long trades. Should the Bulls actually spark a turn in the market the upside resistance band is expected to hold firm. Economic fundamentals, technical variables, and trend forecasting is about as Bearish as it can be. The best trades with the most bang for your buck are likely to be to the downside. Waiting for Selling opportunities probably is the safest and most profitable way to trade the NZDUSD for the next few weeks. Perhaps after the FED meeting there will be a change in outlook, but until then it is unlikely. Reaching the 0.5434 level before the month is over is not a far-fetched objective for the Bears under current market conditions.

USDCAD Weekly Outlook:

Are you Bearish the USDCAD? If you are there are likely to be few solid opportunities for at least a few weeks. All short-term upside targets have been hit, and the trend forecast remains extremely Bullish. A corrective profit taking slide is overdue, and a pull back this week is expected. However, a lower trading market this week is viewed as a chance to get Long before the next explosive surge higher. Can there be a significant sell off? Of course, but odds are slim to none on that. Only a failure from the critical support range would change this very Bullish outlook. And there is very little likelihood of the market falling back that hard anytime soon. As it stands right now, the Bulls are on a mission to get to the 1.4519 level before the trend is expected to level off. With the expectations of a Rate Hike ahead the Bulls are in full control. High volatility is expected so look out for some downside liquidity grabs. The best advice moving forward in the short-term is to look for Buying opportunities and ride the strong trend. After the FED meeting this outlook may change, but only if Warsh indicates a potential pausing in Rate Hikes. I do not see him as a charitable type of guy considering his demeanor when speaking. I bet Warsh gives America a nice stocking stuffer for the holidays with a 3rd hike before the holidays. Put him in a Santa suit and paint him green, and he would make a great Grinch. Good luck this week everyone, and ride the USD Bull trend while it is running on all cylinders.